Back-transform coefficients from glmer with scaled

Question

I've fitted a mixed model using the lme4 package. I transformed my independent variables with the scale() function prior to fitting the model. I now want to display my results on a graph using predict(), so I need the predicted data to be back on the original scale. How do I do this?

Simplified example:

database <- mtcars

# Scale data
database$wt <- scale(mtcars$wt)
database$am <- scale(mtcars$am)

# Make model
model.1 <- glmer(vs ~ scale(wt) + scale(am) + (1|carb), database, family = binomial, na.action = "na.fail")

# make new data frame with all values set to their mean
xweight <- as.data.frame(lapply(lapply(database[, -1], mean), rep, 100))

# make new values for wt
xweight$wt <- (wt = seq(min(database$wt), max(database$wt), length = 100))

#  predict from new values
a <- predict(model.1, newdata = xweight, type="response", re.form=NA)

# returns scaled prediction

I've tried using this example to back-transform the predictions:

# save scale and center values
scaleList <- list(scale = attr(database$wt, "scaled:scale"),
              center = attr(database$wt, "scaled:center"))

# back-transform predictions
a.unscaled <- a * scaleList$scale + scaleList$center

# Make model with unscaled data to compare
un.model.1 <- glmer(vs ~ wt + am + (1|carb), mtcars, family = binomial, na.action = "na.fail")

# make new data frame with all values set to their mean
un.xweight <- as.data.frame(lapply(lapply(mtcars[, -1], mean), rep, 100))

# make new values for wt
un.xweight$wt <- (wt = seq(min(mtcars$wt), max(mtcars$wt), length = 100))

#  predict from new values
b <- predict(un.model.1, newdata = xweight, type="response", re.form=NA)

all.equal(a.unscaled,b)
# [1] "Mean relative difference: 0.7223061"

This doesn't work - there shouldn't be any difference. What have I done wrong?

I've also looked at a number of similar questions but not managed to apply any to my case (How to unscale the coefficients from an lmer()-model fitted with a scaled response, unscale and uncenter glmer parameters, Scale back linear regression coefficients in R from scaled and centered data, https://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/302448/back-transform-mixed-effects-models-regression-coefficients-for-fixed-effects-f).

Answer 1

The problem with your approach is that it only "unscales" based on the wt variable, whereas you scaled all of the variables in your regression model. One approach that works is to adjust all of the variables in your new (prediction) data frame using the centering/scaling values that were used on the original data frame:

## scale variable x using center/scale attributes
## of variable y
scfun <- function(x,y) {
    scale(x, 
          center=attr(y,"scaled:center"), 
          scale=attr(y,"scaled:scale"))
}
## scale prediction frame
xweight_sc <- transform(xweight,
                        wt = scfun(wt, database$wt),
                        am = scfun(am, database$am))
## predict
p_unsc <- predict(model.1, 
                  newdata=xweight_sc, 
                  type="response", re.form=NA)

Comparing this p_unsc to your predictions from the unscaled model (b in your code), i.e. all.equal(b,p_unsc), gives TRUE.

Another reasonable approach would be to

• unscale/uncenter all of your parameters using the "unscaling" approaches presented in one of the linked question (such as this one), generating a coefficient vector beta_unsc
• construct the appropriate model matrix from your prediction frame:

X <- model.matrix(formula(model,fixed.only=TRUE), 
         newdata=pred_frame)

• compute the linear predictor and back-transform:

pred <- plogis(X %*% beta_unsc)