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I'm now submitting iPhone app to iTunes connect.
And I have a question about distribution certificate.
What will happen if distribution certificate expired?
Will apps which purchased by users stop running or crash after certificate expired?
Or users can't install the apps or can't download the apps from App Store after expiration of distribution certificate?
Nothing happens. Don't worry about it.
You can also refer : https://discussions.apple.com/thread/2333107?start=0&tstart=0
This is not completely true. For the remainder of the certificates one year life the app will run. After the certificate expires the app in the store and on user devices will cease to run. Without a current membership you won't be able to renew the certificate.
See the following link: https://developer.apple.com/support/technical/certificates/
If distribution certificate expired then you can't submit apps in Apple Store. Existing/Submitted apps will work fine. No need to worry about it.