How to interpret almost perfect accuracy and AUC-R

2019-01-30 20:24发布

问题:

I am training ML logistic classifier to classify two classes using python scikit-learn. They are in an extremely imbalanced data (about 14300:1). I'm getting almost 100% accuracy and ROC-AUC, but 0% in precision, recall, and f1 score. I understand that accuracy is usually not useful in very imbalanced data, but why is the ROC-AUC measure is close to perfect as well?

from sklearn.metrics import roc_curve, auc

# Get ROC 
y_score = classifierUsed2.decision_function(X_test)
false_positive_rate, true_positive_rate, thresholds = roc_curve(y_test, y_score)
roc_auc = auc(false_positive_rate, true_positive_rate)
print 'AUC-'+'=',roc_auc

1= class1
0= class2
Class count:
0    199979
1        21

Accuracy: 0.99992
Classification report:
             precision    recall  f1-score   support

          0       1.00      1.00      1.00     99993
          1       0.00      0.00      0.00         7

avg / total       1.00      1.00      1.00    100000

Confusion matrix:
[[99992     1]
 [    7     0]]
AUC= 0.977116255281

The above is using logistic regression, below is using decision tree, the decision matrix looks almost identical, but the AUC is a lot different.

1= class1
0= class2
Class count:
0    199979
1        21
Accuracy: 0.99987
Classification report:
             precision    recall  f1-score   support

          0       1.00      1.00      1.00     99989
          1       0.00      0.00      0.00        11

avg / total       1.00      1.00      1.00    100000

Confusion matrix:
[[99987     2]
 [   11     0]]
AUC= 0.4999899989

回答1:

One must understand crucial difference between AUC ROC and "point-wise" metrics like accuracy/precision etc. ROC is a function of a threshold. Given a model (classifier) that outputs the probability of belonging to each class, we predict the class that has the highest probability (support). However, sometimes we can get better scores by changing this rule and requiring one support to be 2 times bigger than the other to actually classify as a given class. This is often true for imbalanced datasets. This way you are actually modifying the learned prior of classes to better fit your data. ROC looks at "what would happen if I change this threshold to all possible values" and then AUC ROC computes the integral of such a curve.

Consequently:

  • high AUC ROC vs low f1 or other "point" metric, means that your classifier currently does a bad job, however you can find the threshold for which its score is actually pretty decent
  • low AUC ROC and low f1 or other "point" metric, means that your classifier currently does a bad job, and even fitting a threshold will not change it
  • high AUC ROC and high f1 or other "point" metric, means that your classifier currently does a decent job, and for many other values of threshold it would do the same
  • low AUC ROC vs high f1 or other "point" metric, means that your classifier currently does a decent job, however for many other values of threshold - it is pretty bad