Wavelet correlation using rolling window

2019-08-01 01:55发布

问题:

I have 3 time series which I can apply the wavelet transform to using a rolling window. The rolling window takes a single time series of length 200 and applies the waveslim::modwt function to it over the first 30 samples. This outputs 5 lists of which I am only interested in (d1,d2,d3,d4) and these each have a length of 30. A simple example can be found here:

library(waveslim)
J <- 4 #no. of levels in decomposition
data(ar1)
ar1.modwt <- modwt(ar1, "la8", J)

@G. Grothendieck has kindly provided a neat piece of code for the rolling window approach for a single time series here.

The rolling window increments by 1 and we go again, producing another 5 lists of which I only care for d1->d4 and so on and so on until the full length of the time series had been rolled over.

The next step is to apply the waveslim::brick.wall function to the output of the rolling window lists. The brick.wall function looks at the output of modwt for the first window across the 4 levels and replaces some of the values with NAs.

I believe I have covered this by modifying @G. Grothendieck answer using the following approach, I hope I am right:

modwt2 <- function(...) unlist(head(brick.wall(modwt(...)), 4))
rollr <- rollapplyr(ar1, 30, FUN = modwt2, wf = "la8", n.levels = 4, boundary = "periodic")
L <- lapply(1:nrow(rollr), function(i) matrix(rollr[i,], , 4))

The final piece is to construct correlation matrices for the outputs of the brick.wall function which is L above over the 4 levels of interest.

There is a function called waveslim::wave.correlation which takes two brick.wall outputs X and Y and computes the wave.correlation over the various levels.

library(waveslim)
data(exchange)
returns <- diff(log(as.matrix(exchange)))
returns <- ts(returns, start=1970, freq=12)
wf <- "la8"
J <- 4
demusd.modwt <- modwt(returns[,"DEM.USD"], wf, J)
demusd.modwt.bw <- brick.wall(demusd.modwt, wf)
jpyusd.modwt <- modwt(returns[,"JPY.USD"], wf, J)
jpyusd.modwt.bw <- brick.wall(jpyusd.modwt, wf)
returns.modwt.cor <- wave.correlation(demusd.modwt.bw, jpyusd.modwt.bw,
                                      N = dim(returns)[1])

I wish to expand on this and compute the full correlation matrix for my 3 time series. Please note that the example above with exchange rates does not use the rolling window approach as it uses the full length of the time series which I would like to now do and it also produces a single value for the correlation between two time series. It does not construct the full correlation matrix which I need as I am interested in the eigenvalues of these correlation matrices over time.

So in summary:

  1. Take 3 time series
  2. Apply modwt function using rolling window
  3. Apply brick.wall function to each output of the rolling window in 2 above
  4. Create full 3x3 correlation matrix for the 4 levels using outputs of 3 above over time

回答1:

Putting together the pieces you give in your question:

1) Create 3 time series

set.seed(1)
s <- replicate(3, rnorm(200), simplify = FALSE)

2) & 3) Apply modwt and brick.wall with rolling window

modwt2 <- function(...) unlist(head(brick.wall(modwt(...), wf = "la8"), 4))

rollr <- lapply(s, function(x) rollapplyr(x, 30, FUN = modwt2, wf = "la8", 
                                          n.levels = 4, boundary = "periodic"))

L <- lapply(rollr, function(x) lapply(1:nrow(x), function(i) matrix(x[i,], , 4)))

res <- lapply(L, function(y) lapply(y, function(x) as.list(as.data.frame(x))))

4) Create correlation matrices

create_4mat <- function(w) {
  # create four 3*3 correlation matrices (one for each level) for window w
  M <- replicate(4, matrix(0, nrow = 3, ncol = 3), simplify = FALSE)
  for (k in 1:4) {
    for (i in 1:3) {
      for (j in (i:3)[-1]) {
        M[[k]][i, j] = wave.correlation(res[[i]][[w]], res[[j]][[w]], N=30)[k, 1]
      }
    }
    M[[k]] <- M[[k]] + t(M[[k]]) + diag(1, 3, 3)
  }
  M
}

output <- lapply(1:171, create_4mat)

output is a list of 171 lists of 4 correlations matrices.

For instance, output[[28]][[2]] is the correlation matrix for d2 in the 28th window:

output[[28]][[2]]
#            [,1]       [,2]      [,3]
# [1,]  1.0000000 -0.1740320 0.2292872
# [2,] -0.1740320  1.0000000 0.6046918
# [3,]  0.2292872  0.6046918 1.0000000

Edit: Eigenvalues (as requested in comment)

For d1:

eigenvalues1 <- lapply(output, function(x) eigen(x[[1]], symmetric = TRUE, 
                                                 only.values = TRUE)$values)

Similarly for d2. Note that for d3 and d4 all correlation matrices are filled with missing values.